Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 371.515346 424.841077 485.206976 559.025762 647.432247 750.625823 881.247673
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 293.757400 361.969180 446.919615 562.167123 717.076644 922.006971 1220.417921
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 246.211667 317.963006 412.943533 550.960174 751.767138 1042.275138 1512.170466
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 217.528234 291.543097 394.423968 552.587015 798.597210 1183.301335 1867.585688
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 191.985059 264.882468 370.193049 539.607293 818.016802 1283.008556 2181.847131
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 174.137952 246.514765 354.738452 536.168975 849.916740 1407.706762 2577.440948
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 154.194681 222.525358 327.388812 508.820192 835.257874 1445.119742 2812.040462
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 147.800378 218.422566 330.357469 531.870965 913.317484 1673.689994 3537.697741
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 143.737718 217.392076 337.892739 563.593074 1013.435085 1972.772856 4563.070943
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 134.926327 207.650315 329.520558 564.835720 1053.112902 2152.076865 5365.635988
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 124.503385 194.231596 313.303988 548.828550 1053.609929 2240.917824 5953.496704
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 115.555070 182.555253 298.992108 534.575970 1055.234695 2333.077393 6602.569251
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 111.642119 179.453420 300.190251 552.320947 1134.318689 2653.066673 8253.411071
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 106.131013 173.070072 294.694972 555.566123 1180.651578 2901.969338 9843.926848
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 99.467909 164.048849 283.280172 544.519616 1189.604248 3046.089329 11122.137445
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 94.892112 158.475294 277.971666 546.122790 1231.285222 3306.180246 13184.521629
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 89.190870 150.376008 266.933889 533.332031 1232.302508 3435.837970 14725.240999
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 84.950546 144.729105 260.320404 529.943581 1258.727494 3663.914811 17094.085499
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 78.764159 134.961044 244.524448 502.988611 1213.322437 3619.227852 17742.116142
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 77.712406 135.037056 249.076810 525.707798 1318.184795 4184.963194 23371.687962
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 77.376724 136.475169 256.612036 556.967751 1457.610219 4966.941874 32418.930157
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 74.540912 132.716412 252.607247 558.192160 1502.042600 5365.375379 39050.101857
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 70.580563 126.438308 242.587464 542.419155 1486.869051 5483.026042 43060.552954